NFL Real Talk: Week Seven

Written by Starbonell on .

Earnest_Graham_and_fan
White people friendly with the Bucs RB are known as “Graham’s Crackers”
Photo Credit: Matthew Sowell

People forget this, but there was once a time where everything was different. Jonah Hill was fat, two girls did sensational things with one cup, and people had countless explanations for why a guy named “Mims” was hot (pause). The time was 2007, and crazy shit ruled our lives. Things were so out of whack, in fact, that some random dude named Earnest Graham came out of nowhere to tally 10 TDs and over 1,200 yards.

Ah but sometimes things come full circle. Graham, who from 2008-2010 operated in relative obscurity, crept back into the fantasy spotlight the moment LeGarrette Blount went down with a knee injury in Week Five. Most labeled Graham a bye-week fill-in and nothing more. Perhaps this is because the Bucs have not trusted Graham with a serious offensive role since ‘07, or maybe his age (31) threw people off. Regardless of the reason, no one really viewed Graham as a legit, long-term fantasy solution... until he racked up 131 yards against a pretty damn good run defense.

Now owners want to know if there are any legs to this Earnest Graham thing, and the answer is... “possibly” (what? I’m scared of commitment). Of course, your boy Dudley Do Work can’t just come on here and flat out tell you that Graham will be the lead back even after Blount returns, but there’s no reason he shouldn’t be universally owned right now. He’s always had great hands, and is currently sixth among all RBs in targets (30), which is excellent considering the limited playing time he’s had for most of the season. He’s also capable of handling full-time RB duties. Aside from his impressive 2007 campaign, Graham has spent time working as full back over the last few years, which is a very physical position. The transition to feature back shouldn’t pose a problem.

Yes Blount is the incumbent and displayed good power last year, but his 4.3 YPC is over a full yard lower than Graham’s (5.5) and he straight up doesn’t have the versatility in his game that Graham possesses. In fact, for a guy that’s labeled as a bruising RB, Blount hasn’t even been that great in short-yardage situations.

The bottom line is that Blount isn’t some superstar back who has earned the right to have his feature title handed back to him upon his return. If Graham continues to put up numbers, fight for tough yards, and wreak havoc in the passing game, there’s a solid chance he earns enough playing time to warrant flex status (and possibly more) for the remainder of the season.

NFL Real Talk continues after the jump:

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Don't Sleep: Week Seven

Written by Jesse Potes on .

Palmer
Palmer? I Hardly Know Her
Photo Credit: SteelCityHobbies 

Before we get into our picks for this week, let’s take a look at how our boys from Week Six did (fantasy totals based on standard ESPN settings).

Quarterbacks from Week Six
Tim Tebow (DEN) – BYE
Alex Smith (SF) – 17-35 passing, 125 passing yards, 1 passing touchdown, 1 interception, 7 fantasy points
Smith had a pretty rough game against Detroit, but he was able to clutch up when it mattered most and get a win for his team. Even though that means nothing to us from a fantasy perspective, Jim Harbaugh still loves him and has a ton of confidence in his QB. Speaking of Jim, does anyone disagree that he would have knocked Schwartz out if people weren’t there to break it up? As far as Tebow goes, I suggested you add him last week but he had a bye. You could not afford to wait if you wanted him though, so get ready to start loving Tebow time!

Running Backs from Week Six
Jackie Battle (KC) – BYE
Delone Carter (IND) – 14 rushing attempts, 45 yards, 0 receptions, 4 fantasy points
For Battle, we are looking at the same situation we were for Tim Tebow. He had a breakout game going into a bye week, so you could not afford to wait until after the bye to pick him up. This week is the first game that you actually get to evaluate him as a waiver add. Delone Carter had 14 carries, but did nothing with them. I still like him as a guy to claim off waivers because of the workload, but he has to show us something more before he reaches must-own status.

Wide Receivers from Week Six
Doug Baldwin (SEA) – BYE
Darrius Heyward-Bey (OAK) – 6 receptions, 82 receiving yards, 8 fantasy points
See above to Battle and Tebow when it comes to Doug Baldwin. Heyward-Bey continued his strong play and his arrow will continue to point upward with Carson Palmer coming to town. Palmer is willing to take chances downfield and has great decision-making skills. Heyward-Bey is developing into a nice receiver and has reached must-own status.

Tight Ends from Week Six
Benjamin Watson (CLE) – 3 receptions, 35 yards, 3 fantasy points
A big bust in Week Six for Benjamin Watson. Not good since he has Evan Moore breathing down his neck. Moore is much more talented than Watson and he should start stealing playing time from him.

Picks for Week Seven after the jump:

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Slick Picks: Week Six

Written by Justin Occhionero on .

Painter
Your gambling picks this week could use a coat of Paint'
Photo Credit: Jeffrey Beall

Last week, I told you that it was important to never make the “obvious bet.” This mantra of mine proved to be accurate in a few cases, especially in the Pittsburgh-Tennessee game, where the Titans were given as much as seven points in some locations. Naturally, they lost the game and didn’t even come close to covering. Like I said, the bookie usually knows what’s up, so don’t fall for his schemes.

Having said that, not all games are “trap” games. Case in point: the Jacksonville-Cincinatti game. The Jaguars were given the favorite nod, which was odd considering they had only won one game (a close one too) and were playing the Bengals who had just come off an impressive victory over Buffalo. So without hesitation, I told you to take Jacksonville. I should have known better. Yes the line was “odd,” but not in the way I previously mentioned. The Jags were the 2.5 point favorite, true, but being a 2.5 home favorite is not an indication of the bookie knowing they would win. In fact, it might actually show hesitation. When a team is at home, they are usually given an automatic three point advantage. So, in essence, Jacksonville was the 0.5 underdogs, but due to the home field advantage got the favorite nod. That alone should have warranted some suspicion. When faced with similar situations, always take the points. Not all games are necessarily “traps.”

With that said, here are my 5 slick picks of the week. We went 3-2 last week to go 5-4 on the season. As always, I throw in a Survivor pick for good measure. More after the jump:

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Stream Pies: Week Six

Written by Starbonell on .

Davis
Too Soon?
Photo Credit: Ryan Leighty

At “Stream Pies,” we are serving up gooey loads of knowledge. Here, we’ll provide invaluable streaming advice on kickers and DEF teams who are owned in less than 30-percent of Yahoo! leagues. We list the options in order of best option to “least-best” option (with the strongest recommendations starting at the top). Below our recommendations are last week’s and full season results. Points are based on default Yahoo! settings.

Sleeper isn’t available this week, so your boy is tackling “Stream Pies” dolo. That’s right, this edition of “Stream Pies” will be all Kid Clutch, so get that lube ready, because you’re about to be Star-boned.

More after the jump:

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Don't Sleep: Week Six

Written by Jesse Potes on .

Alex_Smith
Alex Smith has a 7:1 TD-to-INT ratio
Photo Credit: Monica's Dad 

A lot of players that are available in most of your fantasy leagues had breakout games in Week Five. Before we get into the deep sleepers who can help you out as bye week fill-ins or potential fantasy studs, let’s recap how our "Don’t Sleep" Week Five players performed.

More after the jump:

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NFL Real Talk: Week Six

Written by Starbonell on .

Benson_2
Scott is Turf Building on Cedric Benson’s Territory
Photo Credit: Keith Allison

Football is one of those sports where pre-determinations turn into pseudo-facts. Bernard Scott is a perfect example of this. Despite having elite all-around talent, his size (5’10” and under 200 pounds) has led to him being labeled as a change of pace back. He was never given a fair chance to win the starting RB job and the team has instead sent out Cedric Benson’s corpse because, after all, Benson can carry the ball 20-25 times a game (never mind the fact that all those carries have led to a 3.82 YPC since the start of the 2009 season). Now with Benson potentially sitting on a multiple game suspension, Scott may be the next RB to become a fantasy superstar.

Scott shitted on the notion that he isn’t a between the tackles runner when he ran for a two-yard score. Some of you may be saying, “S-S-Starbonell! That goal line TD came against a soft Jacksonville defense and he was barely even touched.” First off, the Jaguars have actually been pretty solid in their run defense, allowing just three TDs and an average of 85.8 rushing yards per game to opposing RBs. Second, the fact that Scott ventured into the end zone unscathed is more of a testament to his vision and athletic wizardry rather than a knock on his lack of physicality. In fact, Scott was a pretty physical dude in college and if not for his size and the fact that the Bengals have shielded him from working on early downs, he wouldn’t have this reputation of not being able to handle feature back carries.

The point is, the guy has remarkable skills. The Bengals don’t have Benson signed beyond this year and they really have no reason to be loyal to a guy who has had more run-ins with the law than Sideshow Bob. The reports regarding Benson’s suspension are mixed and he could very well escape punishment, but the one thing he can’t escape is the hot moisture of Scott’s breath bearing down his neck (pause).

If you have the roster space (which may be tough considering we are in the midst of bye weeks), it would be wise to stash Scott on the low. Sure you could wait until something actually happens to Benson (be it a suspension, injury, or imprisonment), but by then it will already be too late. Fantasy football is about having the foresight to make moves before a dude breaks out, and no player in football (aside from Jonathan Stewart) is in a better position to do so with the right opportunity than Scott.

Real Talk continues after the jump: no comments

Canadian Wrap-Up: Week Five

Written by Justin Occhionero on .

Tebow_3
America is getting zooted on Te-blow.
Photo Credit: Jeffrey Beall

For lack of a better word, Week Five was absolutely dreadful. In all seven of my leagues, I failed to record a win and it wasn’t even close. It pains me to even write that. I still hold winning records in most of my leagues ( I’m  2-3 in a few), so here’s to hoping that Week Five will be my worst week of the season. With that said, let’s delve into some of the more interesting storylines of the week. We get to it after the jump: 

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Slick Picks: Week Five

Written by Justin Occhionero on .

Philip_Rivers_
Rivers will be playing with junk this week as he faces the Broncos
Photo Credit: Conman33

As a football handicapper, it’s important to remember these three cardinal rules:

1. If it’s too good to be true, it usually is
What i’m geting at here is that if you see a spread that clearly doesn’t correlate with the current situation in the NFL (like a 3-1 team at home off three wins in a row only giving up three points to a 1-3 team), you should be skeptical. After all, the bookies aren’t dummies, they know probably more than you do about the games, and their primary goal is to steal your money. So play it smart, if a spread is clearly begging you to pick a specific team, pick the other one. Now, there are certain situations where it is wise to pick the “obvious bet”, but from my experience, i find it beneficial to roll the dice on the opposite team, it has done me well in the past (Starbonell's editor note: Occhionero's mom has done me well in the past).

2. I don’t care if you could have sworn Team A was going to have a good year, live in the now!
Did you hear that a team was supposed to have a turnaround season, but isn't living up to their expectations. I’m sure you’ve said to yourselves, “they have to turn it around, this team is 'supposed' to be good." Please, get these thoughts out of your head. As a handicapper, you must live in the now. Don’t let the propaganda out there fool you..

This brings me to the final and most important point...

3. Make your own decisions
You hear a lot of information out there, whether it be about a team's defense, coaching changes, rumours, etc. The problem is that often these “reports” aren’t as accurate as they claim to be. The point in all this is to read the information, but analyze the situation yourself, and ultimately make your own decisions. This is the only way you’ll achieve success.

With that, here are my five Golden Picks for the week. I’m 2-2 on the season thus far. I’ll be keeping tally all year. I also add in a survivor pick for good measure.

More after the jump:

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Don't Sleep: Week Five

Written by Jesse Potes on .

Hasselbeck
This 'Beck no es un perdedor.
Photo Credit: Titanfan

Before we get into our sleepers for Week Five, let’s take a look at how our picks did from last week:

Quarterbacks from Week Four
Matt Hasselbeck (TEN)- 10-20 passing, 220 passing yards, 3 passing touchdowns, 1 interception, 18 fantasy points
Jason Campbell (OAK)- 25-39 passing, 344 passing yards, 1 passing touchdown, 2 interceptions, 29 rushing yards, 15 fantasy points
Rex Grossman (WAS)- 15-29 passing, 143 passing yards, 1 passing touchdown, 2 interceptions 5 fantasy points

Running Backs from Week Four
Dexter McCluster (KC)- 7 rushing attempts, 26 yards, 3 receptions, 12 yards, 3 fantasy points
Montario Hardesty (CLE)- 7 rushing attempts, 22 yards, 5 receptions, 49 yards, 6 fantasy points
Kendall Hunter (SF) - 9 rushing attempts, 38 yards, 2 catches, 62 yards, 9 fantasy points

Wide Receivers from Week Four
Torrey Smith (BAL) - 1 reception, 1 receiving yard, 0 touchdowns, 0 fantasy points
David Nelson (BUF) – 2 receptions, 18 yards, 0 touchdowns, 1 fantasy point
Victor Cruz (NYG) – 6 receptions, 98 yards, 0 touchdowns, 9 fantasy points
Brandon Gibson (STL) – 1 reception, 14 yards, 0 touchdowns, 1 fantasy point

Tight Ends from Week Four
Jermaine Gresham (CIN)- 4 receptions, 70 yards, 1 touchdown reception, 13 fantasy points
Ed Dickson (BAL) – 4 receptions, 45 yards, 0 touchdowns, 4 fantasy points

Now let’s get to the good stuff. If you are reading this, it most likely means that your team is struggling and you are looking for a boost. Well, lucky for you, I am here with some deep sleepers to help you get a win in Week Five. With bye weeks starting this week, a lot of you are probably looking for a short term fill-in. These are my favorite deep sleepers for Week Five:

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Stream Pies: Week Five

Written by Starbonell and Andrew on .

McNabb
“Remember when I used to not suck?”
Photo Credit: Meegs

At “Stream Pies,” we are serving up gooey loads of knowledge. Here, we’ll provide invaluable streaming advice on kickers and DEF teams who are owned in less than 30-percent of Yahoo! leagues. We list the options in order of best option to “least-best” option (with the strongest recommendations starting at the top). Below our recommendations are last week’s and full season results. Points are based on default Yahoo! settings.

With bye weeks underway, you need “Stream Pies” now more than ever. Aside from the Ravens, there are no kickers or defenses that you have to hold onto. In fact, many of you are probably debating if you should drop a potentially useful position player in order to hang onto the Jets D or Dan Bailey. Don’t be an idiot. Drop the DEF or K and move on to the next one. Who is the next one you ask? Well, you just have to peep game after the jump to find out:

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