Photo Credit: Craig O'Neal
So here you are, thinking you're gonna get a steal of a player in an early round. Well, here I am, telling you to stay away from some guys. I know there will be some people who will still draft Tim Tebow, I understand, you're part of his cult following, but choose with your head, not with your heart. Here are some players you will think about drafting, but hopefully don't. You'll thank me later. Better yet, I'll just say you're welcome now.
More after the jump:
Mark Sanchez/Tim Tebow- Just stay away. Two quarterbacks with very underwhelming 2011 seasons. New York's offensive line needs a lot of help, which happens to be one of the big reasons Mark Sanchez shit the bed. The one positive I can see about drafting Tebow (hopefully as no more then a third stringer), is the wildcat in the redzone. But again, the offensive line will determine this success. Too much media attention for two quarterbacks who can't throw. Things are ugly in Jet world right now.
Sam Bradford- This isn't as much of a knock on Sam as it is a knock on his weapons. When Danny Amendola is your number one WR, you're in trouble. While Bradford only played 10 games last year, he didn't do much, tossing only six touchdowns, while throwing six picks and fumbling six times. There was a lot of hype coming out of college, but Sam certainly has not done anything to earn the rediculous $78 million contract he signed.
Michael Turner- This is the definition of wear and tear. Turner is a big dude, and turning 30 will just slow him down. In four of his six games last year that he ran for 100+ yards, he had long runs of 50+ yards. Take away these long runs, and Turner breaks 100 yards only twice. If you can get him at a bargain, grab him, but don't bank on him being a winning back on a week-to-week basis.
Willis McGahee- There is absolutely no chance Willis puts up 1,000+ yards this year. He had 149 attempts more then he did in 2010, and that was solely because of Tim Tebow. This year, he has a quarterback who you may have heard of, and Willis' attempts will drop back to under 150. Oh yeah, he also turned 30, and that seems to be the wall for most running backs.
Frank Gore- Another running back entering the year almost over the “hill.” It's no surprise that Gore has been slowing down over the last couple of seasons, as he's is a powerful runner who, when healthy, never really split time. When healthy is the key though. He has only played two full seasons in his career. With the 49ers offseason offensive additions, Gore will be sharing some of the load with Brandon Jacobs while San Francisco will be throwing the ball more. Pass on Gore this year.
Santonio Holmes- This is in direct correlation with his two quarterbacks. He put up career-low yardage totals last year and doesn't really have the best rep with Mark Sanchez. Once again, two quarterbacks who can't throw means a Santonio Holmes who can't put up fantasy points.
Vernon Davis- Over the past three seasons, Davis has averaged 890 yards. Mainly because Alex Smith didn't have anyone else to throw to. Michael Crabtree has increased his yardage by 100+ every year since he's been in the league. Adding Randy Moss and Mario Manningham will cut into Davis' targets. He's still a great TE, even a great number one guy, but his numbers will not be as good as they were in 2011.