"Yo MDS, I can't do this. I can feel the cake's pain."
Shaun Marcum expects to be ready for Opening Day, but he's currently dealing with tightness in his shoulder. He acknowledged the problem on March 13th, saying it's just Spring Training tightness and there's nothing to worry about. He pitched again on the 17th, but had to leave after three Innings and will have his next start skipped. Don't worry he says, again, it's just precautionary. I'm sure if you ask him, the Tommy John surgery that caused him to miss all of 2009 was just a precautionary procedure. Last season Marcum dealt with elbow inflammation and spent two weeks on the DL. In 2008 he had knee surgery. It's safe to say that Marcum does not fit the definition of a durable Pitcher and I'm going to slice 20 Innings off my previously optimistic projection (205 IP). We're dropping him down to 185 IP, this will cost him about 15 spots on the Corporate Ladder. As the designated auction sheriff, I let someone have Marcum for $9 last Sunday. I think the position is too deep to risk a chunk of money on Marcum.
More after the jump...
Brandon Morrow will start the season on the DL because of an forearm inflammation. It doesn't sound serious as he's expected to miss only one start. I'm not changing my projection because I didn't expect him to reach 200 Innings Pitched anyway. I still have him scheduled to throw 185 Innings. Jo-Jo Reyes will enter the rotation for the time being. I'm actually surprised he's going to miss a start, I would think this is a DTD injury. Whenever my forearm is inflamed I just have to put it back into my pants for a day or two. With three upcoming drafts I'm hoping to get Morrow at a discount price. I'll still drop a $12-$15 bid on him depending on the circumstances.
Wandy Rodriguez returned from his bout with mild shoulder tendinitis and performed well, allowing only an unearned Run against the Nationals over four Innings. This was a quick turnaround for Wandy and he's scheduled to start the second game of the season at Philly. Everything appears to be in order, Wandy's projection and rankings remains intact.
Johnny Cueto has been put on the shelf for (at least) one week due to shoulder inflammation. Cueto came out of a game after one Inning, on March 28th, complaining of pain in his bicep. This was after missing eight days of action due to a forearm tightness. Dusty Baker, the forever optimist, jumped to a conclusion and said, "You don’t want to jump to any conclusions," Baker said. "It’s not in the elbow or shoulder. It’s more in the muscle". Thanks Dusty. Cueto could start the season on the DL. The usage rate for his Slider (29.4%) and the fact he pitches for Dusty Baker raises a few red flags. There is some risk here. I'm shaving 10 Innings off his 195 IP projection. This will cost Cueto about ten spots in the Corporate Ladder.
Jake Peavy is dealing with rotator cuff tendinitis. Supposedly doctors have confirmed this has nothing to do with the lat surgery that shelved the Peav for the second half of 2010 so he's got that going for him. What he has going against him is that he'll be on the DL for two to four weeks, maybe longer. I mean c'mon, it's Jake Peavy. He's reached 200 IP only three times in his career, the last time being in 2007. Phil Humber should make some spot starts, Chris Sale could fit in the equation if Peavy has another set back. I guess Peavy could still hit my 185 IP projection, but I'm taking it down to 175 Innings. This will drop Peavy around 13 spots in the Top 100 SP ranks, I'll take Jhoulys Chacin over him now.
James McDonald has thrown long toss and a bullpen session since feeling discomfort in his side. Next up are the Yankees on Saturday. Sounds like he'll be good to go unless he experiences a setback. No need to adjust the projection/ranks. McDonald remains a solid sleeper for those who can stand owning a Pitcher who throws for a club who supplies no defense or run support.