The NL West plays home to the majority of Fantasy Baseball's best Starting Pitchers. One is so good he doubles as a musician. Unfortunately, pitching and playing music halves Barry Zito's talent so he sucks at both. I'm only kidding (or am I?). All joking aside, there is plenty of talent to be found in this division. Make the jump to see why DLR makes me hot for teacher.
San Francisco Giants
Tim Lincecum 220 IP, 241 K, 1.13 WHIP, 2.70 ERA, 17 W
Matt Cain 220 IP, 175 K, 1.13 WHIP, 3.31 ERA, 15 W
Jonathan Sanchez 190 IP, 206 K, 1.27 WHIP, 3.60 ERA, 13 W
Madison Bumgarner 200 IP, 159 K, 1.25 WHIP, 3.56 ERA, 14 W
Barry Zito 195 IP, 150 K, 1.32 WHIP, 4.02 ERA, 11 W
Los Angeles Dodgers
Clayton Kershaw 210 IP, 219 K, 1.13 WHIP, 2.79 ERA, 17 W
Chad Billingsley 200 IP, 181 K, 1.24 WHIP, 3.29 ERA, 16 W
Ted Lilly 200 IP, 175 K, 1.13 WHIP, 3.83 ERA, 14 W
Hiroki Kuroda 195 IP, 160 K, 1.17 WHIP, 3.18 ERA, 15 W
Jon Garland 180 IP, 112 K, 1.38 WHIP, 4.50 ERA, 10 W
Ubaldo Jimenez 220 IP, 207 K, 1.12 WHIP, 2.82 ERA, 19 W
Jorge De La Rosa 195 IP, 198 K, 1.27 WHIP, 3.46 ERA, 14 W
Jhoulys Chacin 190 IP, 161 K, 1.29 WHIP, 3.98 ERA, 12 W
Jason Hammel 190 IP, 153 K, 1.33 WHIP, 3.98 ERA, 12 W
San Diego Padres
Mat Latos 170 IP, 180 K, 1.06 WHIP, 2.70 ERA, 13 W
Clayton Richard 200 IP, 153 K, 1.36 WHIP, 4.01 ERA, 11 W
Tim Stauffer 180 IP, 106 K, 1.31 WHIP, 3.80 ERA, 12 W
Aaron Harang 185 IP, 137 K, 1.35 WHIP, 4.33 ERA, 9 W
Daniel Hudson 200 IP, 179 K, 1.12 WHIP, 3.11 ERA, 15 W
Ian Kennedy 195 IP, 167 K, 1.22 WHIP, 3.78 ERA, 13 W
Not included: Chris Leubke, Wade Leblanc, Joe Saunders, Barry Enright, Armando Galarraga, Aaron Cook. I like both Leubke and Leblanc. I would rather see both of them starting over Aaron Harang. I haven't been able to find any info on who they plan on starting so I'll wait for Spring Training to see what happens with this situation.
What was the "throwing his Slider around 30%" bit about? Does it have something to do with straining the arm from throwing too many sliders?
Nah, he faced under 750 batters. Most Pitchers are in the 800s. If he was allowing more base runners and throwing his Slider around 30%, I would have some concerns. Don't pay attention to the Verducci Effect, it's a load of crap.
I see you're not at all concerned that the workload increase last year (130+ more innings pitched in 2010 vs. 2009) will come back to bite Mr. Latos this year. You sure that's not a cause for some concern?
This division is just stacked. I think Kershaw, Latos, Sanchez and Kennedy owners will all be happy with them at thier ADP this year. As for Latos I had him inside the top 10, but your numbers even blew mines out of the water!
195 IP, 180 K, 1.10 WHIP, 3.00 ERA, 15 W
I thought this would be the last year of getting Latos on a discount. But, apparently the cat is out of the bag already.
I don't project good luck and I don't project bad luck. I start out every projection by looking at Pitch/FX data. Then eliminate good luck and bad luck in previous seasons for a baseline.
You could be ahead of the curve here, you do have a solid track record of being ahead of the curve, but, I feel thatacross the board your pitching projections are all best case scenarios.
DLR has the skills to post that line, he just hasn't put it all together yet. He's getting better, if it wasn't for the injury last year we may have seen something special.
Not touching Harang. His pitches have less movement, he's striking out less batters, walking more and he gets hit hard. He's only had one season with a BABIP below .300. Batters are hitting too many Line Drives off him. The Padres defense will have to pull off a miracle to save him.
I'm glad we agree that Lastos is a is looking spectacular this year, especially at his ADP. I'm a bit surprised by your optimism on de la Rosa and Sanchez. They're great targets for K's but if they can put up those rate stats they'd be about the best values on this page.
And are you telling me that you're not looking to take a flyer on Harang? Anybody who can K 7.5/9 and BB fewer than 3/9 is gonna do well at Petco.