"Yo MDS. Join the fanclub, the Sons of Beachy."
Today was a bad day for the Million Dollar Sleeper. I turned 29-years old on Monday and today I was ticketed for Minor Consumption. How does that happen? I'll tell you how. The Atlanta Braves sent Mike Minor packing to AAA Gwinnett, in favor of Brandon Beachy, after I ranked the prospect No. 33 among my SP ranks and drafted him in numerous leagues. I think I owned Minor in three or four leagues, I'm too depressed to count. In case you're wondering, Minor was sporting a 0.69 ERA through 10 IP this Spring (7/4 K/BB). By now I think I've graduated to Step Five in the grieving process. The initial shock and denial have subsided after an explosion of tweets, but the pain is still lingering, I'm definitely angry and I'm feeling depressed as I write this... OK, I'm still on Step Two. I had to wait a number of hours before beginning work on a Brandon Beachy projection (I would have punished him for stealing Minor's job). Now the work is done and the numbers are available, make the jump for your Brandon Beachy projection.
180 IP (Beachy pitched 135 IP across three levels in '10)
163 Strikeouts (8.15 K/9)
This includes a 3.15 BB/9, .293 BABIP and 8.0 HR/FB%. His BABIP was .296 in AA and .287 in AAA, I split the difference. The Braves have a poor defense so it's possible his BABIP could get closer to the .295-.300 range. Here's how Beachy's K/9 and BB/9 broke down as a Starting Pitcher across AA, AAA and MLB in 2010:
AA 35 IP, 13.11 K/9, 2.06 BB/9
AAA 41.2 IP, 8.86 K/9, 1.08 BB/9
MLB 15 IP, 9.00 K/9, 4.20 BB/9
I like the movement I see on Beachy's Changeup and Curveball. The Changeup produced a good Whiff Rate (17.2%) in the limited time he saw after replacing an injured Jair Jurrjens. My projection is semi-aggressive while leaving a little room for upside. In a ranking system based solely on my forecasts, Beachy would slide in between Edwin Jackson and Johnny Cueto (No. 53). He was good enough for me to grab off the wire in most of my leagues. I was a few minutes late in one league and sacrificed $32 in FAAB for his rights in the Starbonell Station league (14-team league that requires teams to pitch 8-9 SP to reach the 2,000 IP cap). I needed the rotational depth there. He's solid. I may take him up on the offer to join the fan club.
Fun fact: Beachy was born in Kokomo, IN. If you're a fan of the Beach Boys, you have some good options for team names. I like the Beach Boys, but only a few songs off the Pet Sounds album (Brian Wilson).