Rivers will be playing with junk this week as he faces the Broncos
Photo Credit: Conman33
As a football handicapper, it’s important to remember these three cardinal rules:
1. If it’s too good to be true, it usually is
What i’m geting at here is that if you see a spread that clearly doesn’t correlate with the current situation in the NFL (like a 3-1 team at home off three wins in a row only giving up three points to a 1-3 team), you should be skeptical. After all, the bookies aren’t dummies, they know probably more than you do about the games, and their primary goal is to steal your money. So play it smart, if a spread is clearly begging you to pick a specific team, pick the other one. Now, there are certain situations where it is wise to pick the “obvious bet”, but from my experience, i find it beneficial to roll the dice on the opposite team, it has done me well in the past (Starbonell's editor note: Occhionero's mom has done me well in the past).
2. I don’t care if you could have sworn Team A was going to have a good year, live in the now!
Did you hear that a team was supposed to have a turnaround season, but isn't living up to their expectations. I’m sure you’ve said to yourselves, “they have to turn it around, this team is 'supposed' to be good." Please, get these thoughts out of your head. As a handicapper, you must live in the now. Don’t let the propaganda out there fool you..
This brings me to the final and most important point...
3. Make your own decisions
You hear a lot of information out there, whether it be about a team's defense, coaching changes, rumours, etc. The problem is that often these “reports” aren’t as accurate as they claim to be. The point in all this is to read the information, but analyze the situation yourself, and ultimately make your own decisions. This is the only way you’ll achieve success.
With that, here are my five Golden Picks for the week. I’m 2-2 on the season thus far. I’ll be keeping tally all year. I also add in a survivor pick for good measure.
More after the jump: